Probability that a five-card poker hand contains two pairs
What is the probability that a five-card poker hand contains two pairs (that is, two of each of two different ranks and a fifth card of a third rank)?
My attempt:
Let us first pick the 3 different ranks. There are ${13choose 3}$ ways of doing this.
Out of each rank consisting of 4 suits, we must pick 2 cards, 2 cards and 1 card respectively.
So, no. of ways $={13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}$
Total no. of ways of selecting a five-card poker hand $={52choose 5}$
$p=dfrac{{13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}}{{52choose 5}}$
This doesn't match the answer given in the textbook. Where have I gone wrong?
probability
add a comment |
What is the probability that a five-card poker hand contains two pairs (that is, two of each of two different ranks and a fifth card of a third rank)?
My attempt:
Let us first pick the 3 different ranks. There are ${13choose 3}$ ways of doing this.
Out of each rank consisting of 4 suits, we must pick 2 cards, 2 cards and 1 card respectively.
So, no. of ways $={13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}$
Total no. of ways of selecting a five-card poker hand $={52choose 5}$
$p=dfrac{{13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}}{{52choose 5}}$
This doesn't match the answer given in the textbook. Where have I gone wrong?
probability
4
You forgot to choose which of the three ranks would be the one with only a single card.
– Henning Makholm
Nov 14 '15 at 18:59
Undercounting, which is unusual. If done in your style It should be $binom{13}{2}binom{11}{1}$.
– André Nicolas
Nov 14 '15 at 19:00
add a comment |
What is the probability that a five-card poker hand contains two pairs (that is, two of each of two different ranks and a fifth card of a third rank)?
My attempt:
Let us first pick the 3 different ranks. There are ${13choose 3}$ ways of doing this.
Out of each rank consisting of 4 suits, we must pick 2 cards, 2 cards and 1 card respectively.
So, no. of ways $={13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}$
Total no. of ways of selecting a five-card poker hand $={52choose 5}$
$p=dfrac{{13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}}{{52choose 5}}$
This doesn't match the answer given in the textbook. Where have I gone wrong?
probability
What is the probability that a five-card poker hand contains two pairs (that is, two of each of two different ranks and a fifth card of a third rank)?
My attempt:
Let us first pick the 3 different ranks. There are ${13choose 3}$ ways of doing this.
Out of each rank consisting of 4 suits, we must pick 2 cards, 2 cards and 1 card respectively.
So, no. of ways $={13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}$
Total no. of ways of selecting a five-card poker hand $={52choose 5}$
$p=dfrac{{13choose 3}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 2}cdot {4choose 1}}{{52choose 5}}$
This doesn't match the answer given in the textbook. Where have I gone wrong?
probability
probability
asked Nov 14 '15 at 18:52
ThomasThomas
730416
730416
4
You forgot to choose which of the three ranks would be the one with only a single card.
– Henning Makholm
Nov 14 '15 at 18:59
Undercounting, which is unusual. If done in your style It should be $binom{13}{2}binom{11}{1}$.
– André Nicolas
Nov 14 '15 at 19:00
add a comment |
4
You forgot to choose which of the three ranks would be the one with only a single card.
– Henning Makholm
Nov 14 '15 at 18:59
Undercounting, which is unusual. If done in your style It should be $binom{13}{2}binom{11}{1}$.
– André Nicolas
Nov 14 '15 at 19:00
4
4
You forgot to choose which of the three ranks would be the one with only a single card.
– Henning Makholm
Nov 14 '15 at 18:59
You forgot to choose which of the three ranks would be the one with only a single card.
– Henning Makholm
Nov 14 '15 at 18:59
Undercounting, which is unusual. If done in your style It should be $binom{13}{2}binom{11}{1}$.
– André Nicolas
Nov 14 '15 at 19:00
Undercounting, which is unusual. If done in your style It should be $binom{13}{2}binom{11}{1}$.
– André Nicolas
Nov 14 '15 at 19:00
add a comment |
2 Answers
2
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You're pretty close, but there is a problem: you do have to choose 3 ranks, but they're not all going to be treated the same. One will be a single, and two others will be pairs. If you multiply by a factor of $binom{3}{2}$ I think you'll have it.
add a comment |
In total, there are $52choose5$ ways to draw a hand (this is our |S|).
We want to choose 2 out of four cards of one value, 2 out of four cards of another value, and one other card not of the first two values (This will be our |E|).
First we choose two values, there are 13 values (2 to A), so $13choose2$.
Then we want to choose two cards of the first value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
Again, we want to choose two cards of the second value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
And finally, choose one card not of the previously selected types (we can’t choose the 4 cards of the first value and the 4 cards of the second value), ${52-8choose1} = {44choose1}$
So we get:
$${{{13choose2}times{4choose2}times{4choose2}times{44choose1} }over{52choose2}} = {198over4165} ≈ 0.0475$$
add a comment |
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2 Answers
2
active
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2 Answers
2
active
oldest
votes
active
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active
oldest
votes
You're pretty close, but there is a problem: you do have to choose 3 ranks, but they're not all going to be treated the same. One will be a single, and two others will be pairs. If you multiply by a factor of $binom{3}{2}$ I think you'll have it.
add a comment |
You're pretty close, but there is a problem: you do have to choose 3 ranks, but they're not all going to be treated the same. One will be a single, and two others will be pairs. If you multiply by a factor of $binom{3}{2}$ I think you'll have it.
add a comment |
You're pretty close, but there is a problem: you do have to choose 3 ranks, but they're not all going to be treated the same. One will be a single, and two others will be pairs. If you multiply by a factor of $binom{3}{2}$ I think you'll have it.
You're pretty close, but there is a problem: you do have to choose 3 ranks, but they're not all going to be treated the same. One will be a single, and two others will be pairs. If you multiply by a factor of $binom{3}{2}$ I think you'll have it.
answered Nov 14 '15 at 19:00
Kevin LongKevin Long
3,38121330
3,38121330
add a comment |
add a comment |
In total, there are $52choose5$ ways to draw a hand (this is our |S|).
We want to choose 2 out of four cards of one value, 2 out of four cards of another value, and one other card not of the first two values (This will be our |E|).
First we choose two values, there are 13 values (2 to A), so $13choose2$.
Then we want to choose two cards of the first value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
Again, we want to choose two cards of the second value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
And finally, choose one card not of the previously selected types (we can’t choose the 4 cards of the first value and the 4 cards of the second value), ${52-8choose1} = {44choose1}$
So we get:
$${{{13choose2}times{4choose2}times{4choose2}times{44choose1} }over{52choose2}} = {198over4165} ≈ 0.0475$$
add a comment |
In total, there are $52choose5$ ways to draw a hand (this is our |S|).
We want to choose 2 out of four cards of one value, 2 out of four cards of another value, and one other card not of the first two values (This will be our |E|).
First we choose two values, there are 13 values (2 to A), so $13choose2$.
Then we want to choose two cards of the first value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
Again, we want to choose two cards of the second value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
And finally, choose one card not of the previously selected types (we can’t choose the 4 cards of the first value and the 4 cards of the second value), ${52-8choose1} = {44choose1}$
So we get:
$${{{13choose2}times{4choose2}times{4choose2}times{44choose1} }over{52choose2}} = {198over4165} ≈ 0.0475$$
add a comment |
In total, there are $52choose5$ ways to draw a hand (this is our |S|).
We want to choose 2 out of four cards of one value, 2 out of four cards of another value, and one other card not of the first two values (This will be our |E|).
First we choose two values, there are 13 values (2 to A), so $13choose2$.
Then we want to choose two cards of the first value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
Again, we want to choose two cards of the second value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
And finally, choose one card not of the previously selected types (we can’t choose the 4 cards of the first value and the 4 cards of the second value), ${52-8choose1} = {44choose1}$
So we get:
$${{{13choose2}times{4choose2}times{4choose2}times{44choose1} }over{52choose2}} = {198over4165} ≈ 0.0475$$
In total, there are $52choose5$ ways to draw a hand (this is our |S|).
We want to choose 2 out of four cards of one value, 2 out of four cards of another value, and one other card not of the first two values (This will be our |E|).
First we choose two values, there are 13 values (2 to A), so $13choose2$.
Then we want to choose two cards of the first value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
Again, we want to choose two cards of the second value out of four cards, $4choose 2$
And finally, choose one card not of the previously selected types (we can’t choose the 4 cards of the first value and the 4 cards of the second value), ${52-8choose1} = {44choose1}$
So we get:
$${{{13choose2}times{4choose2}times{4choose2}times{44choose1} }over{52choose2}} = {198over4165} ≈ 0.0475$$
answered Jan 4 at 3:52
The RoomThe Room
15017
15017
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4
You forgot to choose which of the three ranks would be the one with only a single card.
– Henning Makholm
Nov 14 '15 at 18:59
Undercounting, which is unusual. If done in your style It should be $binom{13}{2}binom{11}{1}$.
– André Nicolas
Nov 14 '15 at 19:00